Pickup of the Day: Aaron Brooks


(AP Photo / Pat Sullivan)

This season I will highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s owned in less than 40% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Saturday, December 21 is Aaron Brooks. He’s owned in 8% of Yahoo! Leagues and 0.9% of ESPN Leagues, but he is the the most added player in Yahoo! Leagues today because Patrick Beverley is out for 4-6 weeks with a broken hand. That just opened up 31 and a half minutes for Houston point guards, of which Aaron Brooks happens to be the only healthy one.

Ignoring the crazy rumors that Jeremy Lin and Omer Asik are being packaged to the Nets or Lakers (not even Prokhorov would pay $30 mil for one year of both…would he?), we should note Lin is hopeful to return on Monday. Even if he does, Brooks should still be pushing 30 mpg as the backup PG. If he doesn’t, watch out.

The biggest concern with Brooks is his recent abysmal FG%. He is averaging a horrific 28.6% FG over his past two weeks, but, when given more regular playing time over seven games in late November and early December, he shot 46.2% FG while averaging 13.9 pts, 2.6 reb, 4.1 ast, 2.0 stl and 2.6 3pm. Those are phenomenal numbers for a PG averaging 24 mpg off the bench, and now he may not have any competition ahead of him. Though the 2.3 TO he averaged during that seven-game stretch would also increase in nine-category leagues, the assists, steals and threes should more than compensate for that.

Other Notable Players: The question for fantasy owners looking at the Kings is no longer how good Derrick Williams can be, but can we trust Jason Thompson? I say no…As predicted, Tobias Harris stayed in the starting line-up, but it was the young gun Victor Oladipo that got pushed out and not the veteran Glen Davis. This keeps Baby’s value steadier than I thought it’d become…Terrence Jones is now back under 40% owned, and his recent collapse in playing time and role suggests the number should be lower than that…Neither Anthony Tolliver nor Chris Douglas-Roberts stepped up in the first game with the Bobhornets missing both Jeff Taylor and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist…As well as D.J. Augustin, Tony Snell and Taj Gibson all played last night, it is really hard to trust them with Kirk Hinrich, Jimmy Butler and Luol Deng all out. Both Snell and Gibson have proven to be unreliable when both Butler and Deng are in the line-up. It’s questionable whether Augustin will still be useful after Hinrich returns, although “after Hinrich returns” has been a refrain for a long time. Hinrich did go through shootaround before last night’s game, but Augustin’s assist totals are tempting…Khris Middleton answered my challenge about his low FG% by shooting 73.3% on 15 FGA (literally answered it, he found me at a bar after the game and said “How you like them apples?”). He’s been decent lately except for his FG%, but his FG% for the season is better than what it’s been. Caron Butler also had a fantastic game in his return, and it’s notable that the extra minutes for him pushed O.J. Mayo’s minutes back more than they did Giannis Antetokounmpo’s. Keep in mind, though, that this was all done with John Henson sitting out, but his return is most likely just to sink Ekpe Udoh and Miroslav Raduljica’s minutes. Then again, you can never rely on anything with coach Larry Drew…Marco Belinelli pushed Boris Diaw out of the Spurs’ starting line-up and had his second good game in a row, this time with Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili all active. Let’s see where this goes…Okay, now I am paying attention to Brandan Wright, who is averaging 13.8 pts, 5.0 reb and 2.3 blk in his four games this season and has negated both DeJuan Blair and Samuel Dalembert’s values…And last night it was Channing Frye, P.J. Tucker and Gerald Green, while Miles Plumlee and the Morrises Markieff and Marcus disappointed. Of that group, only Frye is trustworthy right now…Told you Nick Young’s poor FG% was going to catch up with him eventually, but last night was brutal (5-for-18). Chris Kaman had a nice 10-17-3 blk line on almost as brutal FG% (5-for-17). He got the start because Pau Gasol was out with an upper respiratory infection. Gasol is questionable for Monday, but don’t assign even short-term value to Kaman just yet. Those of you who kept playing Jordan Hill were rewarded with a 14-10, but he still only saw 20 min of playing time. Unless there’s some type of secret injury that the Lakers are hiding, it just seems like coach Mike D’Antoni refuses to give him regular minutes despite an utter lack of better options. Finally, we should note that Wes Johnson played more minutes than any other player in last night’s game, and he might’ve finished with a decent night if he didn’t miss all seven of his FGs. I still say keep an eye on him, because his ceiling is high and he’s one of the few Lakers whose playing time doesn’t seem to be in question…Matt Barnes returned for the Clippers, which just reminded me that the Clippers have both Barnes and Jared Dudley. Why? They are virtually the same player. Barnes did post a nice 13-3-3-2-3 and 3 3pm last night though. He put a stop to Dudley’s recently solid play, and Barnes could post some nice numbers if he takes over Dudley’s spot. At least until J.J. Redick returns.

Top Five Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):

1. Jon Leuer (21%)
2. Giannis Antetokounmpo (17%)
3. Jordan Farmar (8%)
4. Reggie Jackson (38%)
5. Glen Davis (37%)

We knew Andray Blatche wouldn’t last long on this list with Brook Lopez confirmed to be done for the season today, and he indeed graduated to 40% owned. Meanwhile, I’m keeping my deathgrip on Leuer like I did on Kosta Koufos, and Davis makes his return after showing he can keep his own deathgrip on that starting PF position in Orlando.

Advertisements

Pickup of the Day: Patrick Beverley

(AP Photo / David J. Phillip)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Thursday, November 7 is Patrick Beverley. He is currently owned in 28% of Yahoo! Fantasy Leagues, and he didn’t do much to inspire an uptick in that number tonight other than start. Nonetheless, there are some reasons to keep an eye on him.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against LA:
20131107 Patrick Beverley

It’s not an impressive line, but the two numbers that should stand out are the 33:49 min and 10 FGA. Yes, Beverley missed nine of those attempts, but that’s clearly not going to be the case every night. In six playoff games last year, Beverley averaged 33.3 mpg and 10.8 FGA and posted 11.8 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.8 ast, 1.2 stl and 1.3 3’s. It’s a small sample size, and the numbers aren’t tremendous, but it’s an example of what you might expect from Beverley moving forward. Though you have to take into account that Dwight Howard now commands a lot of touches on offense. Theoretically he should free up space for other players to get clearer shots like he did in Orlando, but that was not what happened last year in LA.

By the way, for those Jeremy Lin owners who were concerned about him losing the starting job to Beverley, don’t be. Lin still played 31 min off the bench and posted an excellent line. His skills are much better utilized with the second unit where he’ll be the primary ballhandler and scorer and get to go against the opposing team’s second unit guards. The Rockets also played a smallball Beverley-Lin-Harden-Parsons-Howard line-up at the end of this game, so Lin seems like he’ll still get playing time to close out games.

Is he legit? No, on a normal night with a full slate of games, Patrick Beverley would barely get a mention. He is an available player worth watching, but I’d put him only slightly above Jodie Meeks, and neither are anywhere close to my Top 5 (see below). Beverley is going to get minutes and may give you good rebounding for a PG to go with a few steals and 3’s, but Lin is still the Rockets PG you want for fantasy purposes.

Other Notable Players: What can we say about the Lakers’ guards? Not many conclusive things. Wesley Johnson is actually Yahoo!’s highest-ranked Laker at #72 (even ahead of Pau Gasol) due to some surprisingly good peripheral stats: 1.4 3’s, 1.0 stl, 1.8 (!!!) blk. Those blocks aren’t from one fluke game either; Johnson has consistently blocked shots every game. You’d have to be somewhat desperate to swallow his 8.4 ppg on 34% shooting, though that doesn’t include his 16 pts on 40% shooting from tonight. For what it’s worth, I’d rather have Jodie Meeks, who’s been by far the most consistent if not spectacular guard on this team and has already done this in stretches last year. Meanwhile, Jordan Farmar could be a useful fantasy PG if only he could get the minutes, Steve Blake and Nick Young aren’t useful at all (in fantasy, Blake’s game-winner tonight was obviously clutch in real life), and Xavier Henry has been my worst Pickup call of the season so far. Just to be thorough, Steve Nash is owned in 70% of Yahoo! leagues but ranks behind ALL of the above players except Henry…I have nothing to say about the other two games.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Reggie Jackson (29%)
2. Metta World Peace (29%)
3. Zaza Pachulia (31%)
4. Martell Webster (17%)
5. Corey Brewer (16%)

Accountability: To be fair, Xavier Henry was our Pickup on the first day of the season, and I cautioned that it’s ridiculous to judge any player after one game…To no surprise, Larry Sanders was not charged in the bar fight for which he was being investigated. Not sure if the Bucks will suspend him for the incident, but he’ll soon be returning to the team. Zaza Pachulia is still a solid Pickup, but you have to believe the Bucks front office will eventually force coach Larry Drew to give their $44 million man as many opportunities to succeed as possible.