Pickup of the Day: Glen Davis

(Steve Mitchell / USA TODAY Sports)

This season I will highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s owned in less than 40% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Saturday, November 23 is Glen Davis. He’s owned in 14% of Yahoo! Leagues and 0.1% of ESPN Leagues, although his Yahoo! ownership already rose 4% as I wrote this entry. As for ESPN, I really wonder if they’re just a bunch of 8 and 10 team leagues, as there are an astounding number of solid waiver wire players who are literally under 1% owned.

Anyway, here’s a look at Big Baby’s line tonight against Miami:
20131123 Glen Davis

First of all, if you need a PG, your Pickup tonight should be Brandon Knight. I tell you this because he’s already owned in 38% of Yahoo! Leagues and is thus harder to acquire than Big Baby. He doesn’t get the top spot tonight because he’s never been great at getting assists (the premium stat that you want from your PG), his shooting has always been poor, and I imagine him initially to be in more of a timeshare with Luke Ridnour. Still, he is talented, and the Bucks were willing to let Brandon Jennings go to have Knight and his rookie salary instead.

On the other hand, Davis is not part of Orlando’s future. I expect him to displace mis-positioned Moe Harkless as the starting PF, but Harkless is part of Orlando’s future, so the team may want to keep him in as a starter for continuity. Coach Jacque Vaughn wouldn’t even commit to starting Tobias Harris, a better player than either Davis or Harkless, over Harkless when Harris returns from injury.

So why do I believe in Glen Davis? In two words: Arron Afflalo. In five: Arron Afflalo and Jameer Nelson. Neither of these players are part of Orlando’s future either, but Afflalo is averaging 36 mpg (and having a career year) while Nelson is getting 31 mpg (and looking like he should be a backup). The common belief is that Orlando is shopping these two players and thus letting other teams get a good look at them play, which may explain why Afflalo is playing out of position at SF while Nelson and Victor Oladipo try to mesh in the backcourt despite the Magic announcing they wanted to try Oladipo at PG.

That’s why I believe the Magic will put Big Baby in the starting line-up and give him the same treatment, letting him increase his own trade value as much as possible. Obviously, there’s no way to predict what Afflalo, Nelson and Davis’s values will be if and when they get traded, but, for now, Orlando seems content to let them run amok.

Other Notable Players: Patrick Patterson put up an effective 21-7 line with Jason Thompson limited to only 10 min with foul trouble. Neither had actually been too effective even in more minutes previously, though Patterson is better at avoiding fouls. No action should be taken yet for Patterson…Jared Dudley only posted 11-2-2, albeit with 3 3’s, but his value is on the rise with Barnes still out for two weeks with a retinal tear…The starters in Philly got the green light to chuck the ball up tonight with both Thaddeus Young and Spencer Hawes out. Take James Anderson for instance, who launched 10 threes and only connected on one. He finished with a decent 13-5-1-3-1 line if you ignore the abysmal 4 for 18 shooting. Daniel Orton continued to start in place of Young, but, with Hawes also out, he actually played 35 min (most of his career) and posted a 10-10-1-0-2 (also his first career double-double). The former Kentucky teammate of DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall was annihilated by Roy Hibbert, however, and posted the lowest +/- of anyone in the game (-21). The Sixers will continue favoring Lavoy Allen over him, but neither Young (personal reasons) nor Hawes (sore knee) are expected out much longer…The big winner of Raymond Felton’s injury in New York seems to be absolutely no one. After posting a 19 pts & 8 ast in his last game, Beno Udrih came way back to earth with 6 pts & 3 ast. Iman Shumpert, Pablo Prigioni and Tim Hardaway Jr. all also failed to step up as the lowly Knicks were spanked by the slightly less lowly Wizards. Probably could’ve used that Linsanity guy tonight…One night after I criticized his lack of assists, Jordan Crawford goes out and drops 10 dimes to go with 12 pts and 3 reb (and 4 tov). Brandon Bass, whose ownership has actually dropped down to 33%, had his first good game in his last four with Kelly Olynyk out for possibly two weeks with a sprained ankle. Seems Bass, and not Vitor Faverani, will be the one to absorb the available minutes Olynyk is leaving on the floor. Jared Sullinger’s value was unaffected…With James Harden missing tonight and Monday with a foot injury, both Patrick Beverley (17-3-2, 5 3’s) and Jeremy Lin (19-5-5-2-1, 2 3’s, 5 tov) had good games, but the real story for Houston was Aaron Brooks (26-4-5-2, 6 3’s, 4 tov) coming out of nowhere and lighting up the Wolves. He’s got a Nate Robinson feel to him, and, once upon a time (in 2010), Brooks had tremendous value for Houston and even won the Most Improved Player award. Yet tonight is likely to be his best game of this year unless Lin or Beverley also miss extended time…In the four recent games that Al Jefferson sat out, Josh McRoberts averaged 31.0% FG. In the two games with Jefferson back so far, McRoberts has shot 40.0% and 71.4%. The assists weren’t there tonight, but he is a better player next to Jefferson…Don’t look too deeply into either the Bucks’ starters having crappy games across the board or Khris Middleton and John Henson having good games off the bench. The Bucks were getting demolished. As stated above, you should just pay attention to Brandon Knight’s return, as he’s likely to clear 40% owned by tomorrow…By the same token as the Bucks game, discount any fantasy-related notions you may have from the Cleveland-San Antonio box score, as the Cavs were obliterated. The only thing you should know is that Jarrett Jack left with a neck strain and didn’t return, although that may be because the Cavs were down by 30 for most of the night…Mo Williams already had two straight bad games coming into tonight, and now he’s got three. This time, though, it was due to him being tossed for instigating a fight with Andrew Bogut. This fight also got Draymond Green and Wesley Matthews ejected. We’ll have to wait until Williams’s next game, assuming he’s not suspended, to see if his value bumps up again.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):

1. Kosta Koufos (15%)
2. Glen Davis (14%)
3. Brandon Knight (38%)
4. Jared Sullinger (32%)
5. Mo Williams (25%)

Two soon-to-be starters bum-rush their way onto list as they return from injury. Do I expect them to be better than those guys below them? Not necessarily, but Davis and Knight are proven commodities who should soon be receiving starting duties now that they’re back with their teams.

Hindsight: I don’t think you can really put too much of Metta World Peace’s disappearance on me when the entire Knicks team has turned into a black hole for fantasy.

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No New Pickup!

This season I will highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s owned in less than 40% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

Despite five games tonight and lots of action, there are no notable players tonight that should be picked up but haven’t already been a previous Pickup of the Day. As the NBA season progresses, some fantasy players will rise, fall, and then re-emerge. At that point, I’d be okay with repeating Pickups. Right now at only four weeks into the season, though, that hasn’t happened yet.

(My prediction for the first Pickup to fall and then re-emerge? Markieff Morris.)

So go out and get Terrence Jones (30%) and Martell Webster (31%). Or Jordan Hill (57%) and Steve Blake (52%) if you’re in an especially shallow league. And, if someone in your league has made the horrible mistake of dropping Tobias Harris (59%), make sure to grab him as he’s practiced two days in a row and could be close to returning.

Other Notable Players: Deron Williams practiced today and expects to play tomorrow, ending Shaun Livingston’s run just in time for me to pick up Terrence Jones, who isn’t likely to stay in free agent pools long after posting a 24-9 tonight and averaging 14-10 and 2 blk in his last four. Patrick Beverley has been pretty solid as well, though he’d be a more attractive PG if he actually could get his assists over three per game…This is why Martell Webster stays in the top five. Five threes and nine rebounds? Those are elite numbers from a G/F. Everything Trevor Ariza did when he was healthy, Martell Webster does better. Except get steals…With Raymond Felton and Metta World Peace both out, the Knicks shook up their line-up. J.R. Smith went back to the bench (and was great). Beno Udrih started (and was terrible), as did Kenyon Martin (and was what you’d expect from 35-yr old Kenyon Martin). Iman Shumpert, the guy I thought would benefit most, stayed relatively consistent and didn’t look as good as Pablo Prigioni. Basically, this is a bunch of non-news. I don’t know what’s happening with the Knicks, and I’m not sure they do either…Who the hell is Mike Scott? I was sure this must’ve been his first career double-double, but he actually had two in the last two garbage games of last season. Shot better this year though, and he was playing heavily early in the game and not just in garbage time. Would love to see the Hawks give him a start over DeMarre Carroll…What’s up with the Morris twins? Did their mom tell them they have to take turns scoring? After a week of averaging 23-8-2, Markieff has fallen off to 5-3-2 in his past three games. Meanwhile, Marcus Morris is averaging 16-6 with two 3’s in his last two games. I’m not sure what to make of this, so I’m not ready to recommend dropping Keef and picking up Mook. I actually wouldn’t be surprised to find out only one twin is any good, and they’ve been switching jerseys on us…Few more notes on the Suns: Gerald Green started in place of the injured Eric Bledsoe and put up a season-high 23 pts to go with 3 reb, 4 ast, 1 stl, 2 blk and 4 3’s, but he made back-to-back bonehead decisions at the end of the game that got him benched. His value will dip again when Bledsoe returns. Channing Frye has now had two good games in a row, though his role hasn’t changed at all. He’s been the starting PF all season, so he might just have found his shooting touch. He’s worth an add to the Watch List. Archie Goodwin had a promising first half, but then did virtually nothing in the second and finished with only 19 min. He’s got talent, but unless there’s a trade or injury, he won’t get the opportunity.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):

1. Terrence Jones (30%)
2. Martell Webster (31%)
3. Josh McRoberts (18%)
4. Mo Williams (25%)
5. Jodie Meeks (27%)

Terrence Jones and Martell Webster rise due to their great games tonight, and Jodie Meeks slips due to the news that Kobe is returning sooner than expected.

Hindsight: No new pickups, and no new regrets either. I still believe in Jared Sullinger, though, if anybody’s wondering. I just like saying that to reassure myself.

Pickup of the Day: Josh McRoberts

(Maddie Meyer / Getty Images)

This season I will highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Monday, November 18 is Josh McRoberts. He’s owned in 17% of Yahoo! Leagues and 4.7% of ESPN Leagues. Really, I wanted to pick Mo Williams again, but that would’ve been redundant. McRoberts is at the head of the Top Five, so he kind of gets the nod by default.

And with that sterling endorsement, here’s a look at his line tonight against Toronto:
20131118

McRoberts again was a great source of threes and assists from the center position. He now leads all C-eligible players in assists on the season (4.7), and he and Kevin Love (4.5 apg) are the only centers who average more than four assists and a three per game. Of course, Love hits almost three 3-pointers a game and crushes McBobby in points, rebounds and percentages, but we’re cherry-picking stats here to make my guy look good.

Where McRoberts really hurts you, however, is field goal percentage. He’s averaging 37.5% for the year, and barely has more games shooting over 40% FG (three) than games shooting 0% FG (two). Taking a look at his shot chart, we find McRoberts is actually a terrible shot except from the left block and at the top of the key. He’s an especially atrocious 17.6% from midrange.

However, one positive is that McRoberts actually had two of his best games of his season (17-5-5, 4.0 3’s, 54.5% FG) playing next to Al Jefferson. Having Jefferson drawing defensive attention down low freed up easy shots for McRoberts. While conventional wisdom may be that playing with Jefferson will cut into McRoberts’s production, the exact opposite has been true so far. Jefferson could be back in the line-up as early as this Wednesday, and McRoberts owners should be hoping for nothing less.

Is he legit? Josh McRoberts’s line is like nothing I have ever seen from the center position: 37.5% FG, 76.9% FT, 1.7 3’s, 9.3 pts, 4.7 reb, 4.7 ast, 0.8 stl, 0.5 blk, 1.8 tov. He’s like a backup guard that can’t shoot.

Take a look at his per-minute numbers, and you’ll realize he has never played like this in his entire professional career, even last year when he was also in Charlotte. Ignoring his rookie season in which he played 28 total min across eight games, this is how his Per-36 minutes numbers in previous years compare to this one:

In rebounds, he averaged between 7.9-9.5 in previous years. This year he’s averaging 5.7. In assists, he averaged between 2.1-3.4 in previous years. This year he’s averaging 5.9. In three pointers attempted, he averaged between 0.4-2.0 in previous years. This year he’s averaging 5.3.

I don’t know what to predict out of this season. I can say McRoberts’s career field goal and rebound rates are better than this, but his career three-pointer and assist rates are also worse. Is there a balance, or is this just who he is now? Like I said, his FG% should go up as soon as Jefferson gets back, and he seems to be locked into 29-30 mpg. McRoberts’s numbers may be strange this year, but no doubt they will be useful.

Other Notable Players: 12-5-6-3-2 in 30 min from Mo Williams tonight. He’s legit and climbing into my Top Five…Speaking of PG’s, 23-2-2 from Shaun Livingston tonight on 8-14 FG and 7-7 FT and, as expected, not much else (one steal)…McRoberts wasn’t the only productive Bobcat. Jeffery Taylor dropped 20 points with two threes, and has scored in double digits and averaged over 29 min in his past five games. His contributions in non-points categories are inconsistent, to put it politely…Kirk Hinrich didn’t score much, but he still got 25 min and led the Bulls in assists. It’s hard to rely on him at this point unless we see an utter collapse by Derrick Rose…After J.J. Hickson’s 18-19-2-1-2 tonight, you may feel completely safe dropping Timofey Mozgov. There is no more C controversy in Denver (cut to Mozgov dropping a 20-10 while Hickson gets 20 min off the bench on Thu)…There’s no way the Thunder don’t exercise their team option on Reggie Jackson next summer, but I’d love to see him on a team that’ll give him 35 mpg…Another good game from Tony Wroten, while James Anderson yo-yo’s his way back to respectability. With MCW planning to return on Wednesday, however, you may be seeing the final acts of their set…It’s a shame Toney Douglas is still out with a stress reaction in his left tibia, as he’d be the obvious benefactor if Stephen Curry turns out to be dealing with the dreaded c-word (concussion, what were you thinking?). Without Douglas, though, I’m not even sure who runs the offense. Kent BazemoreNemanja Nedovic? Or do they go no PG (like Utah has disastrously), let Iggy bring the ball up the court and just move Harrison Barnes into the starting line-up?…In three of his last four games, Marvin Williams has played over 26 min and averaged nearly a 14-8 with 2.3 threes. In that fourth game, he sucked, but this is a situation to monitor in case Richard Jefferson or Alec Burks (or both) drop off (like both did tonight)…No, it’s not Diante Garrett time yet…Kosta Koufos put up an impressive 10-9-2-2-4 line on 5 of 5 shooting in just 18 min. He’s not getting nearly enough minutes to matter right now, but he did provide decent value, especially in blocks, in spurts last year with Denver…With news that  Metta World Peace has gotten his knee drained and Raymond Felton is taking medication for a pinched nerve, we may be seeing more Iman Shumpert as ballhandler. I’m not buying the hype on Pablo Prigioni or Tim Hardaway Jr., but then I didn’t buy the hype on Andrea Bargnani either…On the opposite end of the spectrum, Kobe Bryant has already returned to Lakers practice and been cleared for all basketball activities. There is still no timetable for his return, but when he does, both Steve Blake and Jodie Meeks’s values will slip.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Josh McRoberts (17%)
2. Jodie Meeks (26%)
3. Martell Webster (29%)
4. Terrence Jones (23%)
5. Mo Williams (22%)

Hindsight: One thing I completely overlooked when choosing Andray Blatche as the Pickup of the Day on Saturday: how much less crucial he’d be with Kevin Garnett on the team. While Blatche was invaluable to the Nets last year when Brook Lopez got injured, this year KG and Reggie Evans are keeping Blatche in a bench role. He still had a decent 10-5-1-2-2 line in 22 min, but he’s not worthy of starting for your fantasy team when he’s benched on his real team.

Pickup of the Day: Terrence Jones

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(Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

This season I will highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Thursday, November 14 is Terrence Jones. He’s owned in 11% of Yahoo! Leagues and 4.7% of ESPN Leagues. He hasn’t had an eye-opening game yet, but he’s getting all sorts of opportunities to play.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against New York:
20131114 Terrence Jones

No, he didn’t have a great game at all, but he’s been averaging 34 and a half minutes in his last three games after not even seeing seven minutes in the four games before that. Meanwhile, Omer Asik has seen his minutes in his last three games go from 18:49 to 4:22 to 0:00. This was especially notable tonight after coach Kevin McHale took Dwight out towards the end to avoid the Hack-a-Howard and let Jones futilely try to guard Andrea Bargnani while Asik, a phenomenal post defender, kept the bench warm.

Asik desperately wants to be traded, and Houston seems to have no interest in trading him. On the other hand, they also don’t want to play him while he’s sulking. I have no idea how this situation will end, but right now it means Jones is going to get a lot of opportunities to play PF. In even more bad-for-Houston/great-for-Jones news, backup C Greg Smith sprained his LCL and will be out for an extended period of time, so Jones can also expect to see a lot of minutes at backup C like he did tonight (and hopefully get C-eligibility for it). Houston does frequently go small with a Lin-Beverley-Harden-Parsons-Howard line-up, but right now Jones may be a lock for 30+ min every night.

Is he legit? Eh. Terrence Jones still looks a lot like the same player he was at Kentucky, where he often dominated simply by being much bigger and more talented than everyone else. He is still huge, but not against a guy like Bargnani, who had no trouble with him. He is still talented, but he doesn’t possess that single, elite NBA-level skill. He might get you double-digit rebounds. He might block a lot of shots. He might drain some threes. Yet you can’t rely on him to do any of those things on any given night. Pick him up if you can afford to take a chance on a forward who will get a lot of minutes, but it’s going to be a surprise every time you check his stat line.

Other Notable Players: I love the way Reggie Jackson plays. He is just fearless. Without any hesitation, he’ll take it directly into the chest of a guy like Jermaine O’Neal, and he’ll make that shot, too. As much as the Thunder are trying to make Jeremy Lamb work, Jackson keeps outplaying him and ending up on the court with Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant at the end of games. Jackson’s 12-5-3 tonight (on 55.6% FG and 100% FT) was solid, but he is just not getting consistent enough playing time to be reliable. He is definitely this year’s version of last year’s Eric Bledsoe.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Jordan Hill (33%)
2. Steve Blake (38%)
3. Martell Webster (19%)
4. Corey Brewer (36%)
5. Josh McRoberts (13%)

Hindsight: Metta World Peace, Steven Adams, and Omri Casspi — man, those were some bad calls. Iman Shumpert and Francisco Garcia — I told you they were no good! Why don’t you ever listen to me?!?

Pickup of the Day: Jordan Hill


(Kirby Lee / USA TODAY Sports)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Tuesday, November 12 is Jordan Hill. He’s 9% owned in Yahoo! Leagues and 1.1% owned in ESPN Leagues, but expect those numbers to bump up after he got his first start of the season and dropped the first 20/10 of his career on a career-high 21 points.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against New Orleans:
20131112 Jordan Hill

Much to Pau Gasol’s consternation, coach Mike D’Antoni demoted Chris Kaman back to the bench after just three days as a starter and switched in Jordan Hill for his energy. Considering the Lakers crushed the Pelicans thanks in large part to a heavy dose of Hill, Pau will just have to go home and wipe his tears away with his stacks of $100 bills.

This move actually didn’t affect Kaman at all, as he still had a decent game playing around the same 20 min he always gets. Hill, on the other hand, had the best 26 min of any Laker this season. He obviously won’t do this every night, but I don’t think we’ve seen the best of him yet if he stays in the starting line-up and continues to get starter’s minutes. Or Gasol could be rolling his eyes when D’Antoni changes the line-up again in another three days.

Is he legit? I’d be going out of my mind if Hill had put up these numbers against defensive savant Anthony Davis, but he actually did this against a steady stream of Greg Stiemsma, Jason Smith, and Jeff Withey while Davis stayed on Gasol. That’s not nearly as impressive. Still, Hill is huge, does bring a lot of energy, and has put up startlingly good per-minute numbers ever since he got to the Lakers (as in 15-13 per 36). As long as his minutes push up against 30 mpg, he’ll be a valuable asset.

Other Notable Players: After all the time I’ve spent hyping up Zaza Pachulia, he goes out and drops a 3-5-0. Keep in mind, though, that he didn’t even practice on Monday due to an injury, and the Bucks were getting blown out. I wouldn’t worry about him, but now I won’t sigh at you in disappointment if you drop him to fill a more pressing need…In lieu of more Zaza, we got to see Giannis Antetokounmpo and John Henson get some run together, an interesting tandem since the two account for a combined wingspan of 14’9″ and combined weight of maybe 150 lb. Meanwhile, Gary Neal’s hot and cold streak continues, and don’t pay attention to Mike Beasley’s big garbage time numbers…Stiemsma went down with a sprained knee and had to be carried back to the locker room, meaning 15 mpg just opened up for Pelicans big men. Jason Smith did not have a good game, but he has been excellent recently. Now he could be in line for steady minutes even after Ryan Anderson returns…Steve Blake had a good game with 10 assists but little else in 27 min, but don’t ignore Jordan Farmar’s 9-7-8 in 20 min. The fewer minutes for Blake was due to the Lakers’ blow-out, but I don’t believe he’s in the clear yet in terms of completely having the job over Farmar…DeJuan Blair had another strong rebounding night, but his value isn’t as high when he isn’t grabbing steals…The Sixth Man of my Top 5 is definitely Jodie Meeks. After tonight, his percentages are a ridiculous (and completely unsustainable) 53-48-85, while he’s giving you 13 points and 2.2 threes a game. He’s consistent, too, meaning he’s getting close to those numbers every night and not wildly alternating between good and bad games. Still, I can’t advocate picking him over Crawford’s and Blakes’s assists, Metta’s steals, Hill’s upside, and Pachulia’s $20 that he pays me every night to keep him at the top of my list.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Zaza Pachulia (36%)
2. Steve Blake (32%)
3. Jordan Hill (9%)
4. Metta World Peace (33%)
5. Jordan Crawford (26%)

Hindsight: What happened to you, Martell Webster?

Pickup of the Day: Jordan Crawford

(AP Photo / Charles Krupa)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Monday, November 11 is Jordan Crawford. Really, the Pickup should be Zaza Pachulia again, but it feels too early in the season to repeat a previous Pickup, so we’ll save Pachulia for Other Notable Pickups (see below). Meanwhile, we’ll stick with Crawford as our main guy, who’s 17% owned and will be rising significantly after dropping a surprising double-double on the Magic.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against Orlando:
20131111 Jordan Crawford

The number that jumps out the most is the 10 assists. Crawford has been averaging 10 more minutes per game since replacing Gerald Wallace in the starting line-up, but that wasn’t the his only break. Boston coach Brad Stevens also quickly realized Avery Bradley was not a PG and handed the car keys to Crawford.

He certainly responded strongly with 16-5-10, a steal, great percentages and–most impressively for a newly minted PG–ZERO turnovers. The far more widely owned Bradley didn’t do terribly either, putting up 24 points and 3 steals with great percentages…and absolutely no other positive stats. It’s too early to say both players won from this switch in roles, but this arrangement certainly worked tonight.

Is he legit? My impression of Jordan Crawford had always been that of the chucker on the Wizards. He didn’t get many opportunities to establish a new impression in his first year in Boston, but he’s getting a chance this year to carve out a role on this new tanking leaner Celtics team. For example, I’m pretty sure Crawford has never had a 10:0 assists-to-turnover ratio in his entire professional career. That number won’t last, but it’s not entirely flukey either. So far this year Crawford is having the lowest turnover rate of his career. He’s also producing his lowest personal foul rate along with his best FT% and assist rate. This really does look like a new, smarter Jordan Crawford than the guy who shot without conscience in Washington. His value’s going to fall when Rajon Rondo comes back, but who knows when that’ll be? Also, if Boston becomes as bad as everyone expects them to be, what would even be the point of bringing Rondo back early and playing him late? Pick up Crawford, and see how far he can takes his career this year.

Other Notable Players: On to the real story: the fact that Zaza Pachulia is still only 35% owned. He’s been a Top 5 Sneaky Pickup since we’ve had a Top 5, and he’s been the top Pickup ever since Larry Sanders got into a barfight. Well turns out Sanders will require surgery for the thumb injury he suffered while cracking champagne bottles over dudes’ heads, so he’ll be out for six weeks. This also boosts John Henson’s value, at least until Ersan Ilyasova returns, but Pachulia is now more a lock than ever. PICK. HIM. UP…Al Jefferson returned to the line-up for the Bobcats, and Josh McRoberts returned to fantasy relevance with a 19-6-7 line and 5 threes. This is by far his best game of the year, but he’s been plagued by inconsistency even when he receives large minutes. When he is on, though, he’s a surprising source of assists and threes from the PF spot…For some reason, Kelly Olynyk is 43% owned despite his mediocre play. Well he certainly rewarded fantasy owners that stuck with him with a solid 16-7-5 tonight, but Jared Sullinger played nearly as well in around the same minutes. Sullinger’s role is more versatile, though, as he can be a fill-in for Olynyk, Brandon Bass or Jeff Green. I’m a broken record now, but the Sullinger revolution is coming…Steve Nash is reported to be out for two weeks to recuperate from nerve root irritation in his back. This is Steve Blake’s time, but, if he struggles, keep an eye on Jordan Farmar, too…The confirmed winner of the JaVale McGee Is Injured contest is J.J. Hickson. He’s already 39% owned, so snatch him up quickly…Derrick Rose limped out of the Bulls game and didn’t return, but his injury is being reported as a minor hamstring tweak. Don’t go out and pick up Kirk Hinrich. Unless you just love Kirk Hinrich. Then who am I to stop you?

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Zaza Pachulia (35%)
2. Steve Blake (27%)
3. Metta World Peace (32%)
4. Jordan Crawford (17%)
5. Corey Brewer (28%)

Accountability: Nothing about my Pickups this time, but rather two offhand comments I made about players whose ownerships are way too high for this blog. First, Andrew Bynum looks less like a complete bust now that he’s had a fairly successful start. 11-6-2 with two blocks in almost 21 min is a big win for him. Second, Jeremy Lin was once again the better fantasy PG in Houston, and that’s a huge understatement after he had a spectacular 31-point game reminiscent of his Linsanity days against the Raptors (albeit with zero assists). Meanwhile, Patrick Beverley missed all five of his shots from the field. I have no idea if Lin’s relationships with James Harden and Dwight Howard are still tense, but let’s just forget I ever doubted he was the Rockets PG you wanted on your fantasy team.

Pickup of the Day: Steve Blake

(AFP Photo / Scott Halleran)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Sunday, November 10 is Steve Blake. He’s owned in 14% of Yahoo! Leagues, but his stock has been slowly rising as Steve Nash’s continues to fall.

Here’s a look at his line last night against Minnesota:
20131110 Steve Blake

Remember that weird tidbit from coach Mike D’Antoni’s introductory press conference with the Lakers last year about how he’d always wanted to coach Steve Blake and that he’d been trying to get Blake on one of his teams for 10 years?  At that point we all collectively said, “Huh, Steve Blake?”, but now it seems he might’ve been serious.

Steve Nash has been battling back pain all year and will see a doctor about it on Monday. If the 40-year old PG needs to be shut down for any amount of time, both Blake and Jordan Farmar’s values will shoot up. Originally, Farmar looked like the heir apparent here, but Blake has caught fire since hitting the game winner in Houston. He will get first crack at the starting spot if Nash is out.

Is he legit? We do have to remember this is Steve Blake we’re talking about here. He might end up getting 36 mpg, but even his per-36 min numbers haven’t looked great. He will get you threes, assists, and the occasional steal, but he doesn’t get to the FT line and his FG% has always been subpar. Still, he will be the captain of a Mike D’Antoni offense, and this is an offense that has made valuable fantasy producers out of Steve Blake’s ilk before (Holla Q-Rich, Leandro Barbosa, and Raja Bell!).

Other Notable Players: Also on the Lakers, Jodie Meeks continues to be Mr. Consistency if you’re looking for a stable source of threes. His FT% has always been good, but his .507 FG% this year is nearly 10% above his career average. Nash’s injury helps him as well, as he’s likely sliding into the starting SG spot…Jason Smith had his best game and most minutes of the season as Greg Stiemsma fell out of the rotation. His midrange shooting creates good spacing for Anthony Davis, but the Very Rich Man’s Jason Smith, aka Ryan Anderson, could be making his return as early as Tuesday…As expected, J.R. Smith returned to the line-up and took minutes away from Iman Shumpert, while Metta World Peace had the second-most playing time after Carmelo Anthony…Reggie Jackson, looking revitalized! This was more what I had in mind when I said hold on to him even after Russell Westbrook comes back, though it must be noted Westbrook was ejected from this game…Steven Adams, on the other hand, did not have a good game and didn’t play many minutes, but Kendrick Perkins continues to be ineffective and played just a smidge fewer minutes. Adams is a good guy to stash in roto leagues while we wait for him to take over Perkins’s job, but he’s not going to be a useful rotation piece in head-to-head leagues…Gerald Green still had a productive game despite Goran Dragic’s return but also saw his minutes drop to the fewest since Dragic went out. The Suns have looked good with Green in the starting line-up, but his production is likely about to get too inconsistent to keep him…The Nuggets didn’t play last night, but an opportunity is about to arise for someone with the news that JaVale McGee is out indefinitely with a broken leg. The question is who will absorb his minutes? The options are J.J. Hickson, Anthony Randolph, and Timofey Mozgov with Darrell Arthur as a longshot. None of them have played much. Arthur will likely still be buried on the bench. Mozgov might get the start but doesn’t have the talent. Randolph has the most talent but has never strung together any streak of consistency in his entire career. Hickson actually had good value last year averaging a double-double for Portland and will probably be the winner here, though will it be enough? McGee only played 16 mpg this season. If one of the above players takes all his minutes, that player will instantly become valuable. If those minutes are divvied up more evenly amongst the platoon, none of them will.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Zaza Pachulia (34%)
2. Steve Blake (14%)
3. Corey Brewer (22%)
4. Metta World Peace (31%)
5. J.J. Hickson (38%)

Accountability: No regrets last night, baby! I’m feeling good about Metta, Reggie and Markieff Morris, and I’m going to keep pimping Steven Adams.

Pickup of the Day: Jarrett Jack

(AP Photo / Matt Slocum)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Saturday, November 9 is Jarrett Jack. He’s already up to 38% owned across Yahoo! Leagues and may be out of our Pickup range in the coming days if he keeps producing off the bench.

Here’s a look at his line last night against Philadelphia:
20131110 Jarrett Jack

Speaking of the Cavs, their fairytale rise to contention following LeBron bailing to South Beach seems to have been slightly derailed by two offseason choices that aren’t panning out. The first was signing Andrew Bynum, a calculated risk that is going bust. With the way he’s talking about retiring, I’m no longer sure Bynum’s got more left in the tank than Greg Oden. The second and far less defensible was drafting Anthony Bennett with their no. 1 overall pick, a puzzling choice even in a draft riddled with uncertainty. Bennett has been so awful to start the season, he makes Kwame Brown look like Tim Duncan.

On the other hand, signing Jack was a good choice, as he was a capable backup in Golden State last year (though he makes a lot of odd turnovers) and Kyrie Irving has missed an average of 19 games per year in his first two years. Jack’s had a smaller role in Cleveland so far, but he didn’t really get consistent minutes either last year until December.

Is he legit? Not as much as he was in Golden State. His numbers last night were inflated by the fact that the game went into two overtimes (and I don’t know if he’s ever had three blocks in a game before in his career) but I do expect his minutes to average out closer to the 29 min range he did last year. However, he’s not getting as much of a chance to run the offense playing alongside Irving and Dion Waiters as he did with Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. His per-minute assist numbers are already notably down, though the sample size is still small. Nonetheless, there aren’t many readily available point guards on the waiver wire, so Jack might still fulfill a need for you.

Other Notable Players: Andrew Nicholson got 25 min tonight, but the results were pretty Andrew Nicholson-ish…One good game and most of his value came from the FT line. I’m going to need to see more from Tyler Hansborough first…Alec Burks had a bit of a bounceback game, but until he starts dropping threes regularly, he’s a low upside pickup…Kelly Olynyk got the start over Vitor Faverani, who has completely fallen off. Neither are worth rostering. There’s still plenty of room on the Jared Sullinger bandwagon that I’m driving, but Jordan Crawford has also been quite useful since replacing Gerald Wallace in the starting line-up…Zaza Pachulia and John Henson both put up disappointing lines, but they also both continued to start while Larry Sanders sat. Caron Butler meanwhile had his biggest game of the season, but his continued poor shooting is a lead weight to fantasy teams…DeJuan Blair is just a rebounding and steals machine that also happens to brick free throws like crazy.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues): We say goodbye to another Top Sneaky Pickup as Markieff Morris is now at 46% owned.

1. Zaza Pachulia (35%)
2. Martell Webster (17%)
3. Steven Adams (16%)
4. Corey Brewer (20%)
5. Metta World Peace (30%)

Accountability: Man, was I wrong about Jeremy Lin being more useful than Patrick Beverley. It’s only one game, but I’m overreacting because of Lin’s tiff with James Harden and separately with Dwight Howard. Is he running low on friends in Houston?

Pickup of the Day: Markieff Morris

(AP Photo / Rick Scuteri)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Friday, November 8 is Markieff Morris. He is currently owned in 28% of Yahoo! Fantasy Leagues, and, after two scintillating nights, that number is likely to leap quite a bit by tomorrow morning.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against Denver:
20131108 Markieff Morris

We’ve had eleven Pickups of the Day so far, and three of them have been Suns, proving productive players on “bad” teams are always underrated. Though “bad” is a misleading label right now with Philadelphia and Phoenix both leading their divisions at 4-2.

Markieff and Marcus Morris have both been productive for three games now, but Markieff really blew up in the last game when he dropped 23 points on 11-13 FG. He topped that tonight with a career-high 28 points on 10-13 FG and 7-8 FT. Markieff Morris will also get you strong rebounding numbers, steals, and the occasional three. He had a brief streak of games like this late last year on this team as well, but he’s hitting a new level now. Pick him up and see how far he can carry you.

Is he legit? I really don’t know. After his previous game, I thought he would eventually absorb Channing Frye’s minutes, but Frye played 30 min tonight and wasn’t horrible. Meanwhile, P.J. Tucker is looking less and less useful. At some point, I would guess Morris is replacing someone in the starting line-up and will keep getting starter’s minutes. However, we should also remember that he’s shot 84.6% and 76.9% on 13 shots his last two games, something that won’t continue. Expect his value to fall back to earth over the next few games. The only question is by how much. If he keeps up his current season stats–16 & 7 with 1.6 stl and a three every other game on solid percentages–then you’ve already got yourself a good pickup. However, those averages are skewed by some light minutes earlier in the season. We’ve seen Morris is a much stronger scorer and rebounder in heavier minutes, and his ceiling could be quite high on this motley crew of fantasy goodness.

Other Notable Players: If not for Markieff Morris, the Pickup would definitely be Steven Adams. Adams had a solid outing against Dallas on Wednesday and stepped it up even more against Detroit tonight to the tune of a 17-10 with three blocks on .700 FG% and .750 FT%, even outplaying much-hyped opposing center Andre Drummond. As OKC slowly realizes Kendrick Perkins should not be their Center of even the present, Adams will get more and more opportunities. The reason Morris beats Adams out is because I don’t expect consistent play from rookies…Al Harrington took advantage of Martell Webster’s foul trouble to steal minutes away, but Webster is still the player you want…Iman Shumpert took the minutes I expected to go to Metta World Peace, and Andrea Bargnani’s huge game didn’t help World Peace either. Unfortunately this situation will get even more muddled after J.R. Smith’s return…Bargnani didn’t qualify as a Pickup on this blog when he was 42% owned two days ago, and he definitely doesn’t now that he’s 52% owned, but I hope you were part of that lucky 10% that took a chance on him, because it’s about to get a lot harder to get him…Another impressive sub-20 min game for C.J. Miles. Wish Mike Brown would give either him or Jarrett Jack regular minutes…James Anderson and Tony Wroten are really running neck-to-neck here. Anderson is still getting the start and more minutes, but Wroten might end up with more fantasy value off the bench in a Jeremy Lin type of way…Kelly Olynyk got more minutes, but he didn’t do as much with them as Jared Sullinger did with his. 11-6-4 with 2 blk and 7-8 FT in under 20 min? The .250 FG% wasn’t good, but his time is coming…Andrew Nicholson’s time will come, too, but I’m less sure of him since he still hasn’t been able to beat out Jason Maxiell and has Tobias Harris and Glen Davis somewhere on the horizon…Steve Nash was expected to be out tonight, and Steve Blake stepped up in his place. He still only has value if Nash gives advance notice for additional missed games, but Jordan Farmar has the higher upside…Jae Crowder has been quietly gaining minutes and hitting threes for Dallas. Though he didn’t make any threes tonight, he played 32 min, his most of the year…Steph Curry was out tonight, so don’t expect a renaissance for Toney Douglas…Goran Dragic ended up not playing tonight, giving Gerald Green one more good game. The window is quickly closing, however…Just like in Phoenix’s last game, Marcus Morris also put up good numbers. Just not as good as Markieff’s. When Dragic returns, I imagine Green and Marcus suffering the biggest hits, which must feel weird as someone who has an identical twin with a bigger role on the same team…We had an Anthony Randolph sighting! The fantasy unicorn returned from a sprained ankle to post a sensational line, hitting virtually every category. Unfortunately, Randolph has no history of consistency; there’s a reason he’s 0% owned. Jordan Hamilton is the more reliable pickup here, but it’s always worth a shot putting the multi-cat monster Randolph on your watch list.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Markieff Morris (28%)
2. Zaza Pachulia (35%)
3. Martell Webster (18%)
4. Steven Adams (8%)
5. Corey Brewer (16%)

Accountability: When I told you to hang on to Reggie Jackson, I certainly wasn’t anticipating his next two games to be one where he misses an entire half with an injury and then a 6-6-6 in 18 min. Hopefully he’s still recovering from his hip contusion, because otherwise it looks like coach Scott Brooks will play him a lot more like last year’s Eric Bledsoe than last year’s Kevin Martin. He’s not worth dropping yet unless you have a pressing need somewhere else or there’s a really hot pickup like Bargnani burning a hole on your waiver wire, but his outlook has significantly dimmed.

Pickup of the Day: Patrick Beverley

(AP Photo / David J. Phillip)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Thursday, November 7 is Patrick Beverley. He is currently owned in 28% of Yahoo! Fantasy Leagues, and he didn’t do much to inspire an uptick in that number tonight other than start. Nonetheless, there are some reasons to keep an eye on him.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against LA:
20131107 Patrick Beverley

It’s not an impressive line, but the two numbers that should stand out are the 33:49 min and 10 FGA. Yes, Beverley missed nine of those attempts, but that’s clearly not going to be the case every night. In six playoff games last year, Beverley averaged 33.3 mpg and 10.8 FGA and posted 11.8 pts, 5.5 reb, 2.8 ast, 1.2 stl and 1.3 3’s. It’s a small sample size, and the numbers aren’t tremendous, but it’s an example of what you might expect from Beverley moving forward. Though you have to take into account that Dwight Howard now commands a lot of touches on offense. Theoretically he should free up space for other players to get clearer shots like he did in Orlando, but that was not what happened last year in LA.

By the way, for those Jeremy Lin owners who were concerned about him losing the starting job to Beverley, don’t be. Lin still played 31 min off the bench and posted an excellent line. His skills are much better utilized with the second unit where he’ll be the primary ballhandler and scorer and get to go against the opposing team’s second unit guards. The Rockets also played a smallball Beverley-Lin-Harden-Parsons-Howard line-up at the end of this game, so Lin seems like he’ll still get playing time to close out games.

Is he legit? No, on a normal night with a full slate of games, Patrick Beverley would barely get a mention. He is an available player worth watching, but I’d put him only slightly above Jodie Meeks, and neither are anywhere close to my Top 5 (see below). Beverley is going to get minutes and may give you good rebounding for a PG to go with a few steals and 3’s, but Lin is still the Rockets PG you want for fantasy purposes.

Other Notable Players: What can we say about the Lakers’ guards? Not many conclusive things. Wesley Johnson is actually Yahoo!’s highest-ranked Laker at #72 (even ahead of Pau Gasol) due to some surprisingly good peripheral stats: 1.4 3’s, 1.0 stl, 1.8 (!!!) blk. Those blocks aren’t from one fluke game either; Johnson has consistently blocked shots every game. You’d have to be somewhat desperate to swallow his 8.4 ppg on 34% shooting, though that doesn’t include his 16 pts on 40% shooting from tonight. For what it’s worth, I’d rather have Jodie Meeks, who’s been by far the most consistent if not spectacular guard on this team and has already done this in stretches last year. Meanwhile, Jordan Farmar could be a useful fantasy PG if only he could get the minutes, Steve Blake and Nick Young aren’t useful at all (in fantasy, Blake’s game-winner tonight was obviously clutch in real life), and Xavier Henry has been my worst Pickup call of the season so far. Just to be thorough, Steve Nash is owned in 70% of Yahoo! leagues but ranks behind ALL of the above players except Henry…I have nothing to say about the other two games.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):
1. Reggie Jackson (29%)
2. Metta World Peace (29%)
3. Zaza Pachulia (31%)
4. Martell Webster (17%)
5. Corey Brewer (16%)

Accountability: To be fair, Xavier Henry was our Pickup on the first day of the season, and I cautioned that it’s ridiculous to judge any player after one game…To no surprise, Larry Sanders was not charged in the bar fight for which he was being investigated. Not sure if the Bucks will suspend him for the incident, but he’ll soon be returning to the team. Zaza Pachulia is still a solid Pickup, but you have to believe the Bucks front office will eventually force coach Larry Drew to give their $44 million man as many opportunities to succeed as possible.