Pickup of the Day: Glen Davis

(Steve Mitchell / USA TODAY Sports)

This season I will highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s owned in less than 40% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Saturday, November 23 is Glen Davis. He’s owned in 14% of Yahoo! Leagues and 0.1% of ESPN Leagues, although his Yahoo! ownership already rose 4% as I wrote this entry. As for ESPN, I really wonder if they’re just a bunch of 8 and 10 team leagues, as there are an astounding number of solid waiver wire players who are literally under 1% owned.

Anyway, here’s a look at Big Baby’s line tonight against Miami:
20131123 Glen Davis

First of all, if you need a PG, your Pickup tonight should be Brandon Knight. I tell you this because he’s already owned in 38% of Yahoo! Leagues and is thus harder to acquire than Big Baby. He doesn’t get the top spot tonight because he’s never been great at getting assists (the premium stat that you want from your PG), his shooting has always been poor, and I imagine him initially to be in more of a timeshare with Luke Ridnour. Still, he is talented, and the Bucks were willing to let Brandon Jennings go to have Knight and his rookie salary instead.

On the other hand, Davis is not part of Orlando’s future. I expect him to displace mis-positioned Moe Harkless as the starting PF, but Harkless is part of Orlando’s future, so the team may want to keep him in as a starter for continuity. Coach Jacque Vaughn wouldn’t even commit to starting Tobias Harris, a better player than either Davis or Harkless, over Harkless when Harris returns from injury.

So why do I believe in Glen Davis? In two words: Arron Afflalo. In five: Arron Afflalo and Jameer Nelson. Neither of these players are part of Orlando’s future either, but Afflalo is averaging 36 mpg (and having a career year) while Nelson is getting 31 mpg (and looking like he should be a backup). The common belief is that Orlando is shopping these two players and thus letting other teams get a good look at them play, which may explain why Afflalo is playing out of position at SF while Nelson and Victor Oladipo try to mesh in the backcourt despite the Magic announcing they wanted to try Oladipo at PG.

That’s why I believe the Magic will put Big Baby in the starting line-up and give him the same treatment, letting him increase his own trade value as much as possible. Obviously, there’s no way to predict what Afflalo, Nelson and Davis’s values will be if and when they get traded, but, for now, Orlando seems content to let them run amok.

Other Notable Players: Patrick Patterson put up an effective 21-7 line with Jason Thompson limited to only 10 min with foul trouble. Neither had actually been too effective even in more minutes previously, though Patterson is better at avoiding fouls. No action should be taken yet for Patterson…Jared Dudley only posted 11-2-2, albeit with 3 3’s, but his value is on the rise with Barnes still out for two weeks with a retinal tear…The starters in Philly got the green light to chuck the ball up tonight with both Thaddeus Young and Spencer Hawes out. Take James Anderson for instance, who launched 10 threes and only connected on one. He finished with a decent 13-5-1-3-1 line if you ignore the abysmal 4 for 18 shooting. Daniel Orton continued to start in place of Young, but, with Hawes also out, he actually played 35 min (most of his career) and posted a 10-10-1-0-2 (also his first career double-double). The former Kentucky teammate of DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall was annihilated by Roy Hibbert, however, and posted the lowest +/- of anyone in the game (-21). The Sixers will continue favoring Lavoy Allen over him, but neither Young (personal reasons) nor Hawes (sore knee) are expected out much longer…The big winner of Raymond Felton’s injury in New York seems to be absolutely no one. After posting a 19 pts & 8 ast in his last game, Beno Udrih came way back to earth with 6 pts & 3 ast. Iman Shumpert, Pablo Prigioni and Tim Hardaway Jr. all also failed to step up as the lowly Knicks were spanked by the slightly less lowly Wizards. Probably could’ve used that Linsanity guy tonight…One night after I criticized his lack of assists, Jordan Crawford goes out and drops 10 dimes to go with 12 pts and 3 reb (and 4 tov). Brandon Bass, whose ownership has actually dropped down to 33%, had his first good game in his last four with Kelly Olynyk out for possibly two weeks with a sprained ankle. Seems Bass, and not Vitor Faverani, will be the one to absorb the available minutes Olynyk is leaving on the floor. Jared Sullinger’s value was unaffected…With James Harden missing tonight and Monday with a foot injury, both Patrick Beverley (17-3-2, 5 3’s) and Jeremy Lin (19-5-5-2-1, 2 3’s, 5 tov) had good games, but the real story for Houston was Aaron Brooks (26-4-5-2, 6 3’s, 4 tov) coming out of nowhere and lighting up the Wolves. He’s got a Nate Robinson feel to him, and, once upon a time (in 2010), Brooks had tremendous value for Houston and even won the Most Improved Player award. Yet tonight is likely to be his best game of this year unless Lin or Beverley also miss extended time…In the four recent games that Al Jefferson sat out, Josh McRoberts averaged 31.0% FG. In the two games with Jefferson back so far, McRoberts has shot 40.0% and 71.4%. The assists weren’t there tonight, but he is a better player next to Jefferson…Don’t look too deeply into either the Bucks’ starters having crappy games across the board or Khris Middleton and John Henson having good games off the bench. The Bucks were getting demolished. As stated above, you should just pay attention to Brandon Knight’s return, as he’s likely to clear 40% owned by tomorrow…By the same token as the Bucks game, discount any fantasy-related notions you may have from the Cleveland-San Antonio box score, as the Cavs were obliterated. The only thing you should know is that Jarrett Jack left with a neck strain and didn’t return, although that may be because the Cavs were down by 30 for most of the night…Mo Williams already had two straight bad games coming into tonight, and now he’s got three. This time, though, it was due to him being tossed for instigating a fight with Andrew Bogut. This fight also got Draymond Green and Wesley Matthews ejected. We’ll have to wait until Williams’s next game, assuming he’s not suspended, to see if his value bumps up again.

Top 5 Sneaky Pickups (owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues):

1. Kosta Koufos (15%)
2. Glen Davis (14%)
3. Brandon Knight (38%)
4. Jared Sullinger (32%)
5. Mo Williams (25%)

Two soon-to-be starters bum-rush their way onto list as they return from injury. Do I expect them to be better than those guys below them? Not necessarily, but Davis and Knight are proven commodities who should soon be receiving starting duties now that they’re back with their teams.

Hindsight: I don’t think you can really put too much of Metta World Peace’s disappearance on me when the entire Knicks team has turned into a black hole for fantasy.

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Pickup of the Day: Gerald Green

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(
Mark D. Smith / USA TODAY Sports)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played each night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Sunday, November 3 is Gerald Green. He is owned in just 3% of Yahoo! leagues right now, but he may be in line for a temporary boost.

Here’s a look at his line tonight against Oklahoma City:
20131103 Gerald Green

His value right now is based solely on the status of Goran Dragic, who left tonight’s game after aggravating an ankle he had sprained during the preseason. Until tonight, Green received only minimal playing time backing up Dragic and Eric Bledsoe. With Dragic missing an entire half, however, Green went off and dropped five 3-pointers on his way to 21 points while shooting efficiently and adding nice peripheral stats.

Though it’s still too early for a diagnosis, Dragic’s sprain seems severe, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he missed this entire upcoming week. Green had decent value when he got extended playing time during his 2012 season with the woeful New Jersey Nets, and he’d have an even bigger role on this Suns team that is sadly even worse.

Is he legit? No. Green actually did receive significant playing time for half a month at the beginning of last season with the Pacers and did virtually nothing with it. However, he’s already playing better this year. If Green moves into the starting line-up next to Bledsoe, this will be the biggest role he’s been given yet, and he’s got the multi-category potential to make an impact for your fantasy team.

Other Notable players: Overall, the Suns rotation is maddening. P.J. Tucker was given yet another heavy dose of minutes but disappointed, Miles Plumlee contributed almost nothing, and Channing Frye had his best game of the year. I’m still low on Tucker and high on Plumlee, but I’m keeping an eye on Frye. He could once again be a great source of blocks and 3’s if he finds a consistent role…Andrew Nicholson had his best game of the year, and he’s seeing an uptick in minutes…I’d trust Martell Webster a lot more than Trevor Ariza with the numbers of minutes and shots that Ariza is getting, but Ariza’s the one getting them right now…Although he put up kind of a hollow line tonight, Xavier Henry has finally replaced chuck-it-up all-star Nick Young in the starting line-up…Brandon Bass did not have a good game, but he came into tonight averaging more than 17 & 5 with excellent percentages and PF/C-eligibility and is only owned in 34% of leagues. In fact, he’s the reason I added the new section below.

Top Five Sneaky Pickups: This section will be a running list of the top players owned in under 40% of Yahoo! Leagues, so you have an ongoing idea of who should be picked up if they’re available in your league and I don’t need to keep mentioning them above.

Obviously, you should pick and choose from this list based on your team’s specific position and stat needs, but I will add a note if there’s a player so spectacularly above the others that he should be picked up no matter what your needs are.

My one caveat is that, if your team has no needs but does have room for an additional player, you should pick up Danilo Gallinari (36%). If he were closer to playing, he’d be no. 1 on this list (though probably also way above 40% owned) no matter what. Since he’s at least a month away, he doesn’t make the list.

For now, the Top Five Sneaky Pickups are:

1. Brandon Bass (34%)
2. Zaza Pachulia (22%)
3. Alec Burks (30%)
4. Josh McRoberts (18%)
5. Xavier Henry (23%)

Accountability: As Xavier Henry’s stock rises, Jordan Farmar’s seems to be slipping. After a promising first two games, Farmar hasn’t seen more than 19 minutes in his latest two. Steve Nash isn’t getting as much run as fantasy owners who drafted him would hope, but he is getting enough, combined with Steve Blake’s heavy workload, to push Farmar off fantasy radars.

Pickup of the Day: Xavier Henry


(AP Photo/Danny Moloshok)

This season I will try to highlight a notable player, based on the games played the previous night, who’s available in at least 60% of Yahoo! Fantasy Basketball leagues.

The Sneaky Fantasy Basketball Pickup for Tuesday, October 29, 2013 is Xavier Henry. He’s only owned in 7% of Yahoo! leagues right now, but I’m guessing that will change quite a bit by the end of today.

Here’s a look at his line last night against the Clippers:

The Lakers bench absolutely killed the Clippers, pouring in 76 points total and 41 in the fourth quarter alone. Being as nobody expected much if anything from the Lakers this year (looking at you, C-Webb), there are several reserves that are readily available in most leagues and played well tonight. Jordan Farmar easily could’ve been my pick as well, posting a 16-4-6 line with a steal and two three’s while playing the most minutes of any Laker. Jodie Meeks, who had productive stretches last year, put up decent numbers as well, and Chris Kaman and Jordan Hill were both solid.

Wesley Johnson was terrible. Wesley Johnson shot 1 for 11 and blew a dunk at the end of the game. Wesley Johnson is still a bust. Sorry, Wesley Johnson.

The prize tonight though goes to Xavier Henry, who I honestly didn’t even know was still in the league and previously was only notable to me for pronouncing his name “ZAH-vee-eh.” In fact, this is the highest scoring game of his career. It’s the first game of the season, so this is obviously ridiculous trying to predict his entire year. Still, Nick Young doesn’t do anything but score and not even efficiently, and I don’t expect the Lakers to start Steves Blake and Nash together all year. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Henry get most of the minutes at the wing if he continues playing anywhere close to this, making him still valuable even after Kobe gets back. Whenever that is.

How legit is he? It’s the first game of the season, so either we’re looking at this year’s Most Improved Player or we’ll never hear from him again. You take a guess.

Other Notables: Most of these Lakers will fall back to earth by the end of tonight’s games, but Farmar looked great and will likely play a lot of minutes backing up Nash. I really don’t trust Blake…Shawne Williams was awful, but I think Kaman (who’s 57% owned) and not Hill (who’s 2% owned) will benefit from that…Andrew Nicholson put up a strong 18 points but only played 19 min and shot an unsustainable 80%. I’m guessing Jason Maxiell is playing ahead of him for defense, but Nicholson won’t have much value until he gets the bulk of that timeshare…Lance Stephenson is owned in 45% of Yahoo! Leagues, so he’s not a “sneaky” pickup, but he really should be owned in all leagues until Danny Granger gets back, and even then I think he’ll still be better than Granger.